Posted By Sunil 4 years ago
Live Q&A with Stats Expert SEC StatCat! Refresh for Updates
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Sunil
4 years ago
Jimbo has a history of not running up the score. How in the world are the Aggies -30.5? Is Vandy that bad or are the Aggies that good?
Sunil
4 years ago
Tennessee -3.5 vs South Carolina seems like a huge trap. Is that half point making you nervous when looking at the trends and numbers?
SECStatCat
4 years ago
not particularly. South Carolina's offense is toothless and with a grad transfer QB and new OC and no scary weapons, they have to play low-scoring rock fights each week. Tennessee is better on both sides of the ball and is much more potent in schemes and execution offensively. I think if it somehow crept to 5, then I'd be concerned. Still, Tennessee has started slow each of the past two seasons under Pruitt
SECStatCat
4 years ago
I think the Air Raid has a slightly better chance to be a winning double-digit underdog. SOOO much turnover for LSU and a new defensive philosophy. Though the Tigers like Brennan, he's yet to face the flames and LSU's line wasn't exactly the best at limiting pressure/sacks in SEC play (well below the conference average). His margin of error will be small. But lucky for him, MSU starts the year with the worst defense in ESPN's SP+ -- harder to find an "easier" foe to kick things off. Still, the Air Raid shouldn't sputter too much to start the year IMO
Sunil
4 years ago
How much are you factoring home field advantage this year with the reduce crowds? This seems like an equalizer that I am not hearing a lot about
SECStatCat
4 years ago
From the things I have seen, it appears the "homefield advantage" (usually 3 points) is now one measly point.
Jason
4 years ago
What if they have pack the stadium with extra cardboard cutouts? Gotta bump it up to 1.5 points, no?
Sunil
4 years ago
Any chance Arkansas covers +26 this weekend and any trends for the game should I look out for?
SECStatCat
4 years ago
There's a chance. Franks is a sound play action passer and with Georgia likely wanting to take away Rakeem Boyd, there's an area for them to exploit the top defense in the land. Also the uncertainty around how effective UGA will be on offense is still TDB. Not that Barry Odom has a great unit as is, but his presense shouldn't be dismissed. Still I like Georgia to cover at the end of the day
Sunil
4 years ago
The QB situation for Georgia worries me. I think it will be a close cover vs Arkansas
SECStatCat
4 years ago
Big lines are always tossups IMO. But this is a year where fundamentals like blocking and tackling and winning after contact will reign supreme. Despite being an average run tackling team last year in SEC play, the Razorbacks allowed the highest yards before contact average with the 4th-worst YAC average
Follow up question to that, when has Jimbo beaten a team by 31+ points in his career?
A little of both. Vandy might field a historically bad offense. Before play started, they were the 4th-worst offense in ESPN's SP+ in the country. They're starting a true freshmen and have led the conference in opt-outs. TAMU returns a senior passer who depending on what you look at is the best passer in the SEC. Plus, they have five senior lineman and a top12 defense. Hosting a terrible team with seemingly no identity or momentum seems like a slam dunk to me
Jimbo 100% know what the line is. Remember the Clemson game last year? *throws self off a cliff*
they had three just last year
As someone who had TAMU in that one, that 4th and goal score was a blessing