Posted By Sunil 4 years ago
Live Q&A with Stats Expert SEC StatCat! Refresh for Updates
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SECStatCat
4 years ago
Alrighty gang, it's about that time to wrap up. I appreciate fielding your questions. Be sure to check out my site secstatcat.com ! I should be finished charting Week1 by the middle of next week! Follow me on Twitter @SEC_StatCat and check out http://www.secstatcat.com/
Sunil
4 years ago
Any bold predictions you can offer right now? I want to look back and show the world you are genius when it comes true.
SECStatCat
4 years ago
I don't think any of the bad teams (Vandy, Arkansas) or Miss State or Missouri will beat their under/over win total lines. I think this is a year where the big dogs will rue the day. I like both UK/Tennessee/Auburn to get to 6 wins, LSU/TAMU to get to 7 but not sure how the top 3 shakes out
Jason
4 years ago
Any chance someone from the SEC wins the Heisman? If so, who? Seems like it’s Lawrence’s and maybe Fields to lose.
SECStatCat
4 years ago
I've said this since February but I love Najee Harris. He's set up to be a workhorse on a big stage and his odds are tasty for a nice pay day. Both of Alabama's Heisman's have been running backs
Jason
4 years ago
From your reply, I just had to google Alabama Heisman winners...I had no idea that they only had two. That’s wild!
SECStatCat
4 years ago
I honestly think so. But it's perception nationally is reliant on the SEC West looking buff. As far as context within the SEC, their "average opponent rating faced" in ESPN's SP+ is 16.9, the next closest team is 14.2.
Sunil
4 years ago
I got $100 to throw on a three team SEC parlay this weekend. Can you give me the best three plays from a numbers stand point?
SECStatCat
4 years ago
Hurry up and get this in before UK/Auburn's line shrinks some more But I'd do a 3-leg on UK (+7.5), Florida (-14) and Tennessee (-3.5) but that's stats, trends and matchups and what not. As far as the PROBABILITIES, the three best plays are Missouri (+27.5), LSU (-16.5), and the over in the Vandy/Tamu Game (46)
SECStatCat
4 years ago
Georgia finally dropping certainly provides value. They were at 8.5 for a month, but obviously once Newman opted out, the money started swinging their optimistic odds to people hammering the under. Going 8-2 is still very very possible and highly probable. Plus, they can always go undefeated. Lines that offer the most value I'd recommend would be MSU's Over 4 wins (+155), Bama's under 8.5 wins (+120), and Kentucky's over 5 wins despite a bad bang for buck
SECStatCat
4 years ago
Again it depends on what you're looking at. His Success Rate and Accuracy% is the best. But what he's asked to do is far easier than someone like Mond, Guarantano. He led the SEC in Screen Rate and uses ALOT of play action. Not that those are bad, but it leaves a door open to question if he's a product of Mullen's scheme. His 27 interceptable passes last year was tied for most in the SEC with SCar's Ryan Hilinski. The first and easiest sign he's legit if that number plummets this fall.
That was a lot of fun. Thanks for answering all my random questions lol